Thank you so much, for mentioning the key points regarding the important factors which are responsible for its effect but our major concern was to focus on why it’s inaccurate.
We do consider it in our next blog.
Thank you once again for your time.

Comment on whether forecast..
It affected by
1)indian ocean dipole
2) southern oscillation
3) westerly jets
4)…Etc

All are complex phenomenon, very difficult to understand by single model.